Rest of Season Projection
DavisCategoryJoey
6HR ←3
33R ←23
20RBI →23
3SB3
.157AVG →.217
Current Season
DavisCategoryJoey
1HR ←0
13R ←7
8RBI ←7
1SB1
.123AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Davis Schneider
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.276)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Joey Loperfido
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.381 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.270 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Davis Schneider: 6 HR / 33 R. Joey Loperfido: 3 HR / 23 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).