Rest of Season Projection
HarrisonCategoryJoey
6HR ←3
23R23
33RBI ←23
0SB →3
.190AVG →.217
Current Season
HarrisonCategoryJoey
5HR ←0
10R ←7
14RBI ←7
0SB →1
.170AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Harrison Bader
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.191 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Joey Loperfido
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.381 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.270 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Bader: 6 HR and .190 AVG vs Loperfido: 3 HR and .217 AVG. Stat lines diverge; Bader's buy verdict targets power bounce, Loperfido's sell-high warns on limited 3-SB value.