Rest of Season Projection
JamesCategoryJoey
5HR ←3
28R ←23
9RBI →23
12SB ←3
.157AVG →.217
Current Season
JamesCategoryJoey
0HR0
9R ←7
3RBI →7
4SB ←1
.161AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
James Outman
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.196)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 41% is stable and high — caps the floor
Joey Loperfido
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.381 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.270 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
James Outman: 5 HR / 28 R. Joey Loperfido: 3 HR / 23 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).