Rest of Season Projection
DrewCategoryJoey
4HR ←3
25R ←23
25RBI ←23
0SB →3
.216AVG.217
Current Season
DrewCategoryJoey
3HR ←0
12R ←7
12RBI ←7
0SB →1
.231AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drew Gilbert
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.262)
Joey Loperfido
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.381 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.270 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Drew Gilbert: 4 HR / 25 R. Joey Loperfido: 3 HR / 24 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).