Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryJoey
5HR ←3
24R ←23
21RBI →23
3SB3
.203AVG →.217
Current Season
JakeCategoryJoey
2HR ←0
8R ←7
7RBI7
1SB1
.236AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Meyers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.261)
Joey Loperfido
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.381 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.270 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jake Meyers: 6 HR / 24 R. Joey Loperfido: 3 HR / 24 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).