MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Austin Warren wins 1 (W); Craig Kimbrel wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Austin Warren
93.9
Craig Kimbrel
93.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
10.7%
Craig Kimbrel
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
23.6%
Craig Kimbrel
21.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.8%
Craig Kimbrel
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
42.4%
Craig Kimbrel
38.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
13.1%
Craig Kimbrel
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Austin Warren
.350
Craig Kimbrel
.332
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Austin Warren
27.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.33
3.70
Craig Kimbrel
27.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Austin Warren
1.011.56
now 1.13
1.24
Craig Kimbrel
1.011.56
now 1.44
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Austin Warren
4043.60
now 22
27
Craig Kimbrel
4043.60
now 17
36
Winshigher is better
Austin Warren
.0002.80
now 1
12
Craig Kimbrel
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAustin Warren — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
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