MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Bailey Falter
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Brandon Pfaadt
Brandon Pfaadt
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Bailey Falter.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Brandon Pfaadt’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bailey Falter wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Brandon Pfaadt wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Falter
92.3
Brandon Pfaadt
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Falter
8.6%
Brandon Pfaadt
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Falter
11.1%
Brandon Pfaadt
16.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Falter
21.7%
Brandon Pfaadt
31.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Falter
44.0%
Brandon Pfaadt
34.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Falter
8.0%
Brandon Pfaadt
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Falter
.399
Brandon Pfaadt
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Falter
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 13.97
3.70
Brandon Pfaadt
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Falter
.9002.55
now 3.10
1.24
Brandon Pfaadt
.9002.55
now 1.41
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Falter
4040
now 6
5
Brandon Pfaadt
4040
now 30
7
Winshigher is better
Bailey Falter
.000.480
now 0
00
Brandon Pfaadt
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBailey Falter — hold.conf 0.50
BuyBrandon Pfaadt — buy.conf 0.70
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