MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Bailey Falter
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bailey Falter wins 0 (none); Justin Sterner wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Falter
92.3
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Falter
8.6%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Falter
11.1%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Falter
21.7%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Falter
44.0%
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Falter
8.0%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Falter
.399
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Falter
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 13.97
3.70
Justin Sterner
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Falter
.9002.55
now 3.10
1.24
Justin Sterner
.9002.55
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Falter
4034.40
now 6
5
Justin Sterner
4034.40
now 26
5
Winshigher is better
Bailey Falter
.0002.80
now 0
00
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBailey Falter — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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