MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Bailey Falter
ATL · P
Change to
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bailey Falter wins 0 (none); Burch Smith wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Falter
92.3
Burch Smith
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Falter
8.6%
Burch Smith
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Falter
11.1%
Burch Smith
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Falter
21.7%
Burch Smith
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Falter
44.0%
Burch Smith
47.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Falter
8.0%
Burch Smith
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Falter
.399
Burch Smith
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Falter
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 13.97
3.70
Burch Smith
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Falter
.9002.55
now 3.10
1.24
Burch Smith
.9002.55
now 1.47
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Falter
4026
now 6
5
Burch Smith
4026
now 20
5
Winshigher is better
Bailey Falter
.000.480
now 0
00
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBailey Falter — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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