MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Luis Gil
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luis Gil.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Bailey Ober’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Luis Gil wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Bailey Ober wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.0
Luis Gil
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Luis Gil
8.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
17.1%
Luis Gil
12.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
28.6%
Luis Gil
24.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
36.2%
Luis Gil
46.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Luis Gil
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.327
Luis Gil
.373
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
3.326.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.38
Luis Gil
3.326.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.05
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.151.41
now 1.22
1.31
Luis Gil
1.151.41
now 1.34
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4061.20
now 46
10
Luis Gil
4061.20
now 9
8
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.0008.40
now 6
12
Luis Gil
.0008.40
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBailey Ober — sell.conf 0.68
Hold · wait & seeLuis Gil — hold.conf 0.50
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