MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dustin May.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Bailey Ober’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Bailey Ober wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.0
Dustin May
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Dustin May
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
17.1%
Dustin May
22.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
28.6%
Dustin May
30.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
36.2%
Dustin May
44.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Dustin May
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.327
Dustin May
.319
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
44.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.38
Dustin May
44.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
4.22
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.151.43
now 1.22
1.31
Dustin May
1.151.43
now 1.30
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4067.40
now 46
10
Dustin May
4067.40
now 51
11
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.0008.40
now 6
12
Dustin May
.0008.40
now 3
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBailey Ober — sell.conf 0.68
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.72
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