MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Matthew Boyd wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Matthew Boyd
92.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.3%
Matthew Boyd
15.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
22.5%
Matthew Boyd
25.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
31.0%
Matthew Boyd
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.4%
Matthew Boyd
51.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
7.2%
Matthew Boyd
10.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.301
Matthew Boyd
.335
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
2.816.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.72
Matthew Boyd
2.816.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.12
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.211.37
now 1.30
1.28
Matthew Boyd
1.211.37
now 1.29
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4087
now 51
60
Matthew Boyd
4087
now 31
71
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.0009
now 3
25
Matthew Boyd
.0009
now 2
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyDustin May — buy.conf 0.71
Hold · wait & seeMatthew Boyd — hold.conf 0.55
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