MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Hunter Dobbins
STL · P
Change to
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Hunter Dobbins wins 1 (ERA); Matthew Boyd wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
94.6
Matthew Boyd
92.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
10.3%
Matthew Boyd
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
22.5%
Matthew Boyd
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
26.6%
Matthew Boyd
32.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
39.2%
Matthew Boyd
37.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
7.2%
Matthew Boyd
7.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
.306
Matthew Boyd
.330
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Hunter Dobbins
3.136.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.95
Matthew Boyd
3.136.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.46
WHIPlower is better
Hunter Dobbins
1.221.46
now 1.38
1.39
Matthew Boyd
1.221.46
now 1.29
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Hunter Dobbins
4043.40
now 8
0
Matthew Boyd
4043.40
now 31
0
Winshigher is better
Hunter Dobbins
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Matthew Boyd
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyHunter Dobbins — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighMatthew Boyd — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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