MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
MIL · P
Change to
Hunter Dobbins
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 1 (WHIP); Hunter Dobbins wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Hunter Dobbins
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.9%
Hunter Dobbins
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
22.9%
Hunter Dobbins
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
30.1%
Hunter Dobbins
26.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
44.4%
Hunter Dobbins
39.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
7.6%
Hunter Dobbins
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.324
Hunter Dobbins
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
3.704.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
4.34
Hunter Dobbins
3.704.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.95
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.231.46
now 1.30
1.35
Hunter Dobbins
1.231.46
now 1.38
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4071.40
now 51
0
Hunter Dobbins
4071.40
now 8
0
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
Hunter Dobbins
.0004.20
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellDustin May — sell.conf 0.66
Hold · steadyHunter Dobbins — hold.conf 0.60
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