MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Hunter Dobbins
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bailey Ober wins 1 (WHIP); Hunter Dobbins wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.0
Hunter Dobbins
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
10.0%
Hunter Dobbins
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
17.1%
Hunter Dobbins
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
29.9%
Hunter Dobbins
26.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
38.1%
Hunter Dobbins
39.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.9%
Hunter Dobbins
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.330
Hunter Dobbins
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
3.694.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.46
Hunter Dobbins
3.694.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.95
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.151.46
now 1.22
1.32
Hunter Dobbins
1.151.46
now 1.38
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4064.40
now 46
0
Hunter Dobbins
4064.40
now 8
0
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.0008.40
now 6
0–0
Hunter Dobbins
.0008.40
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBailey Ober — sell.conf 0.72
Hold · steadyHunter Dobbins — hold.conf 0.60
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