MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Walker Buehler.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Bailey Ober’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Walker Buehler wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Bailey Ober wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.0
Walker Buehler
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Walker Buehler
9.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
17.1%
Walker Buehler
20.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
28.6%
Walker Buehler
27.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
36.2%
Walker Buehler
38.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Walker Buehler
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.327
Walker Buehler
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
3.835.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.39
Walker Buehler
3.835.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.88
4.13
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.151.44
now 1.22
1.31
Walker Buehler
1.151.44
now 1.32
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4060.80
now 46
9
Walker Buehler
4060.80
now 43
10
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.0008.40
now 6
12
Walker Buehler
.0008.40
now 3
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBailey Ober — sell.conf 0.68
Hold · steadyWalker Buehler — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet