MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 20, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matthew Boyd.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Bailey Ober’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matthew Boyd wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Bailey Ober wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.5
Matthew Boyd
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.6%
Matthew Boyd
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
16.4%
Matthew Boyd
31.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
30.1%
Matthew Boyd
37.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
32.7%
Matthew Boyd
50.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Matthew Boyd
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.323
Matthew Boyd
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
3.356.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.22
Matthew Boyd
3.356.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.11
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.151.38
now 1.22
1.31
Matthew Boyd
1.151.38
now 1.29
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4089.80
now 46
72
Matthew Boyd
4089.80
now 31
73
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.00014.60
now 6
511
Matthew Boyd
.00014.60
now 2
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellBailey Ober — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowMatthew Boyd — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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