MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tarik Skubal.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tarik Skubal wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Bailey Ober wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.2
Tarik Skubal
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.7%
Tarik Skubal
17.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
17.2%
Tarik Skubal
31.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
28.8%
Tarik Skubal
36.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
32.6%
Tarik Skubal
36.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Tarik Skubal
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.325
Tarik Skubal
.269
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
25.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.33
Tarik Skubal
25.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
2.98
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
.9001.45
now 1.22
1.31
Tarik Skubal
.9001.45
now 0.95
1.00

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4051.60
now 46
34
Tarik Skubal
4051.60
now 45
42
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.4007.60
now 6
36
Tarik Skubal
.4007.60
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBailey Ober — sell.conf 0.66
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.92
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