MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chase Burns.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Burns wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Tarik Skubal wins 1 (WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.9
Tarik Skubal
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
16.6%
Tarik Skubal
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
30.5%
Tarik Skubal
29.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
35.4%
Tarik Skubal
36.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
36.0%
Tarik Skubal
39.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.0%
Tarik Skubal
7.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.270
Tarik Skubal
.282
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
2.96
Tarik Skubal
23.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
3.24
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.26
now 0.96
1.17
Tarik Skubal
.9001.26
now 0.95
1.00

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
40101
now 72
85
Tarik Skubal
40101
now 45
71
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.00014.20
now 7
511
Tarik Skubal
.00014.20
now 3
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.92
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.86
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