Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryChris
130K →136
2.89ERA ←3.18
1.17WHIP →1.11
8–17W →9–19
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryChris
72K →80
1.96ERA ←2.01
0.96WHIP →0.94
7W →8
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Burns
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.89 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Chris Sale
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 1.16 above the ERA — regression coming
Sale outpaces Burns 136 K to 130, with a tighter 1.11 WHIP against 1.17. Both are sell-high calls; the category separation favors Sale.