MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 26, 2026
Portrait of Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom
TEX · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jacob deGrom wins 1 (K); Tarik Skubal wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
97.1
Tarik Skubal
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
17.9%
Tarik Skubal
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
29.9%
Tarik Skubal
28.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
34.1%
Tarik Skubal
36.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
43.2%
Tarik Skubal
41.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
8.7%
Tarik Skubal
7.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
.293
Tarik Skubal
.293
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jacob deGrom
2.383.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.49
Tarik Skubal
2.383.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
3.49
WHIPlower is better
Jacob deGrom
.9001.15
now 1.01
1.08
Tarik Skubal
.9001.15
now 0.95
1.05

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jacob deGrom
40117.80
now 78
97
Tarik Skubal
40117.80
now 45
79
Winshigher is better
Jacob deGrom
1.408.60
now 4
37
Tarik Skubal
1.408.60
now 3
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJacob deGrom — buy.conf 0.78
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.78
Tweet