Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryJacob
127K →130
2.66ERA ←3.79
1.05WHIP1.05
7–15W ←4–9
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryJacob
81K ←78
1.50ERA ←3.48
0.85WHIP ←1.01
7W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.66 is 0.77 above the ERA — regression coming
Jacob deGrom
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.79)
Cam Schlittler: 127 K / 2.66 ERA. Jacob deGrom: 130 K / 3.79 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).