MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Trevor Rogers.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Bailey Ober’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Trevor Rogers wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Bailey Ober wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.0
Trevor Rogers
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Trevor Rogers
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
17.1%
Trevor Rogers
21.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
28.6%
Trevor Rogers
34.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
36.2%
Trevor Rogers
37.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Trevor Rogers
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.327
Trevor Rogers
.294
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
2.308.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.39
Trevor Rogers
2.308.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.84
3.60
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.081.70
now 1.22
1.31
Trevor Rogers
1.081.70
now 1.56
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4060.80
now 46
9
Trevor Rogers
4060.80
now 38
9
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.0008.40
now 6
12
Trevor Rogers
.0008.40
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBailey Ober — sell.conf 0.68
BuyTrevor Rogers — buy.conf 0.75
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