Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryChase
63K →69
3.09ERA ←3.73
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–3W →3–7
0–2SV ←0
Current Season
BenCategoryChase
53K ←47
1.92ERA ←3.89
0.93WHIP ←1.30
2W →3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.09 is 1.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Chase Dollander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.85)
Ben Brown: 63 K / 3.09 ERA. Chase Dollander: 69 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).