Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryJack
63K ←46
3.09ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–4
0–2SV →3–6
Current Season
BenCategoryJack
53K ←33
1.92ERA ←5.46
0.93WHIP ←1.21
2W2
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.09 is 1.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Jack Perkins
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.66 sits 0.44 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ben Brown: 63 K / 3.09 ERA. Jack Perkins: 46 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).