Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryLanden
72K →116
2.91ERA ←3.28
1.21WHIP ←1.34
1–4W →6–12
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
BenCategoryLanden
53K →72
1.92ERA ←4.22
0.93WHIP ←1.31
2W →5
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Landen Roupp
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.325 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Roupp projects for 116 K to Brown's 72 K, with Roupp's 3.28 ERA trailing Brown's 2.91. The strikeout gap favors Roupp; the ERA spread supports selling Brown.