Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryLanden
130K ←116
2.89ERA ←3.28
1.17WHIP ←1.34
8–17W ←6–12
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryLanden
72K72
1.96ERA ←4.22
0.96WHIP ←1.31
7W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Burns
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.89 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Landen Roupp
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.325 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Burns leads with 130 K and a 2.89 ERA; Roupp counters with a 3.28 ERA and 116 K. The verdicts split accordingly: sell Burns while his surface stats peak, buy Roupp as underlying skill supports a rebound.

