Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryBraxton
72K →125
2.91ERA →2.76
1.21WHIP →1.14
1–4W →5–11
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
BenCategoryBraxton
53K →81
1.92ERA ←2.77
0.93WHIP ←1.03
2W →5
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Braxton Ashcraft
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.76, 1.34 below league — production is earned
Ashcraft projects for 125 K against Brown's 72 — the ERA edge (2.76 vs 2.91) reinforces the verdict spread: sell Brown, acquire Ashcraft.