Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryReid
72K →131
2.91ERA2.91
1.21WHIP1.21
1–4W2–5
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
BenCategoryReid
53K →82
1.92ERA ←4.63
0.93WHIP ←1.18
2W2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Reid Detmers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.91, 1.19 below league — production is earned
Brown (72 K) trails Detmers (131 K) by 59 strikeouts; both sit at 2.91 ERA. The K gap tells the story — sell Brown, buy Detmers.