Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryPaul
72K →129
2.91ERA →2.28
1.21WHIP →1.04
1–4W →7–14
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
BenCategoryPaul
53K →75
1.92ERA ←2.89
0.93WHIP →0.86
2W →6
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Skenes projects for 129 K / 2.28 ERA vs Brown's 72 K / 2.91 ERA. The strikeout and ERA gap favors Skenes, aligning with buy versus sell-high verdicts.