Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryNolan
72K →131
2.91ERA ←3.35
1.21WHIP ←1.24
1–4W →3–7
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
BenCategoryNolan
53K →77
1.92ERA ←4.21
0.93WHIP ←1.12
2W →3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Nolan McLean
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.35, 0.75 below league — production is earned
Brown's 2.91 ERA leads McLean's 3.35, but McLean's 131 K far exceed Brown's 72. The ERA margin is thin; the strikeout gap is decisive. The verdicts align: sell Brown, acquire McLean.