Cross-position comparison — no head-to-head winner arrows. Each player's own projection categories are shown in their column.
Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryWillson
Ben Brown (P)
72K—
2.91ERA—
1.21WHIP—
1–4W—
1–2SV—
Willson Contreras (1B)
—HR16
—R42
—RBI53
—SB2
—AVG.264
Current Season
BenCategoryWillson
Ben Brown (P)
53K—
1.92ERA—
0.93WHIP—
2W—
1SV—
Willson Contreras (1B)
—HR11
—R26
—RBI33
—SB1
—AVG.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.399, +0.084 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Brown's 2.91 ERA pairs with 72 K; Contreras's 16 HR and .264 AVG serve different categories. Cross-position value depends on roster slot. The sell-high vs buy verdicts match the surface splits.