Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryBobby
20HR20
71R ←46
71RBI ←40
3SB →26
.269AVG →.314
Current Season
BenCategoryBobby
17HR ←9
44R ←30
44RBI ←26
2SB →17
.306AVG ←.287
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.409 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Bobby Witt Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.398, +0.083 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 3 SB vs Bobby Witt Jr.: 20 HR / 26 SB — same home runs, major stolen-base gap. Witt's .314 AVG also outpaces Rice's .269. The sell-high call on Rice and buy on Witt reflect the clear skill edge.