Cross-position comparison — no head-to-head winner arrows. Each player's own projection categories are shown in their column.
Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryCam
Ben Rice (1B)
20HR—
71R—
71RBI—
3SB—
.269AVG—
Cam Schlittler (P)
—K128
—ERA2.55
—WHIP1.05
—W7–16
—SV0
Current Season
BenCategoryCam
Ben Rice (1B)
17HR—
44R—
44RBI—
2SB—
.306AVG—
Cam Schlittler (P)
—K81
—ERA1.50
—WHIP0.85
—W7
—SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.409 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.55 is 1.05 above the ERA — regression coming
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 71 R. Cam Schlittler: 128 K / 2.55 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).