Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryMax
20HR ←17
71R ←66
71RBI ←36
3SB ←0
.269AVG ←.238
Current Season
BenCategoryMax
17HR ←14
44R ←39
44RBI ←21
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.253
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.409 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Max Muncy
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.393, +0.078 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 71 R. Max Muncy: 17 HR / 66 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).