Rest of Season Projection
BobbyCategoryColson
20HR ←16
45R ←43
39RBI →56
26SB ←2
.310AVG ←.194
Current Season
BobbyCategoryColson
9HR →15
30R ←28
26RBI →36
17SB ←1
.287AVG ←.229
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bobby Witt Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.396, +0.081 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Colson Montgomery
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.328)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Bobby Witt Jr.: 20 HR / 45 R. Colson Montgomery: 16 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).