MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Phil Maton
Phil Maton
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Phil Maton.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Brad Lord’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Phil Maton wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Brad Lord wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Phil Maton
90.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Phil Maton
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Phil Maton
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Phil Maton
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Phil Maton
44.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Phil Maton
12.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Phil Maton
.389
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.01
Phil Maton
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.23
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.99
now 1.00
1.31
Phil Maton
.9001.99
now 1.71
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4036.60
now 31
28
Phil Maton
4036.60
now 22
28
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0005.60
now 3
24
Phil Maton
.0005.60
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seePhil Maton — hold.conf 0.50
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