MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Tommy Nance
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tommy Nance.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Brad Lord’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tommy Nance wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Brad Lord wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Tommy Nance
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Tommy Nance
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Tommy Nance
24.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Tommy Nance
36.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Tommy Nance
35.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Tommy Nance
7.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Tommy Nance
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
2.154.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.01
Tommy Nance
2.154.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.68
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.43
now 1.00
1.31
Tommy Nance
.9001.43
now 1.18
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4036.60
now 31
28
Tommy Nance
4036.60
now 26
29
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0005.60
now 3
24
Tommy Nance
.0005.60
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeTommy Nance — hold.conf 0.50
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