MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyron Guerrero
Tyron Guerrero
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyron Guerrero.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Brad Lord’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tyron Guerrero wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Brad Lord wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Tyron Guerrero
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Tyron Guerrero
15.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Tyron Guerrero
28.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Tyron Guerrero
33.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Tyron Guerrero
30.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Tyron Guerrero
4.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Tyron Guerrero
.243
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.03
Tyron Guerrero
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.70
now 1.00
1.31
Tyron Guerrero
.9001.70
now 1.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4039.80
now 31
20
Tyron Guerrero
4039.80
now 9
20
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0004.20
now 3
13
Tyron Guerrero
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeTyron Guerrero — hold.conf 0.50
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