MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Brandon Pfaadt
Brandon Pfaadt
AZ · P
Change to
Connor Thomas
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Connor Thomas.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Brandon Pfaadt’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connor Thomas wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Brandon Pfaadt wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brandon Pfaadt
93.2
Connor Thomas
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brandon Pfaadt
10.3%
Connor Thomas
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brandon Pfaadt
16.0%
Connor Thomas
13.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brandon Pfaadt
31.9%
Connor Thomas
26.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brandon Pfaadt
34.0%
Connor Thomas
42.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brandon Pfaadt
7.5%
Connor Thomas
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brandon Pfaadt
.300
Connor Thomas
.355
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brandon Pfaadt
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.74
Connor Thomas
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.82
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brandon Pfaadt
1.081.80
now 1.41
1.27
Connor Thomas
1.081.80
now 1.64
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brandon Pfaadt
4041.20
now 30
7
Connor Thomas
4041.20
now 2
5
Winshigher is better
Brandon Pfaadt
.000.480
now 0
00
Connor Thomas
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBrandon Pfaadt — buy.conf 0.70
Hold · wait & seeConnor Thomas — hold.conf 0.50
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