MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Connor Thomas
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Connor Thomas wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Connor Thomas
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Connor Thomas
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Connor Thomas
13.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Connor Thomas
26.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Connor Thomas
42.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Connor Thomas
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Connor Thomas
.355
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Connor Thomas
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.82
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.081.80
now 1.47
1.24
Connor Thomas
1.081.80
now 1.64
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4027.20
now 20
5
Connor Thomas
4027.20
now 2
5
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Connor Thomas
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeConnor Thomas — hold.conf 0.50
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