Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryDrake
8HR →14
28R →57
22RBI →56
2SB ←1
.251AVG →.283
Current Season
BrandonCategoryDrake
4HR →13
13R →39
10RBI →38
1SB1
.235AVG →.303
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Valenzuela
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.349)
Drake Baldwin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Brandon Valenzuela: 9 HR / 28 R. Drake Baldwin: 14 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).