MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Brandon Woodruff
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brandon Woodruff wins 2 (WHIP, W); Dustin May wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
92.0
Dustin May
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
11.3%
Dustin May
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
25.6%
Dustin May
22.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
34.2%
Dustin May
30.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
34.9%
Dustin May
46.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
7.3%
Dustin May
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
.264
Dustin May
.305
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
3.214.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.99
Dustin May
3.214.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.85
WHIPlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
.9201.42
now 1.03
1.28
Dustin May
.9201.42
now 1.30
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
4071.20
now 25
53
Dustin May
4071.20
now 51
58
Winshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
.4007.60
now 2
36
Dustin May
.4007.60
now 3
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrandon Woodruff — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.88
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