MLB Daily DeltaWeek 28 · October 3, 2026
Brandon Woodruff
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brandon Woodruff wins 1 (WHIP); Tyler Mahle wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
91.8
Tyler Mahle
92.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
12.0%
Tyler Mahle
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
27.0%
Tyler Mahle
22.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
34.3%
Tyler Mahle
28.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
34.5%
Tyler Mahle
37.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
7.8%
Tyler Mahle
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
.263
Tyler Mahle
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
2.627.02
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.99
Tyler Mahle
2.627.02
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.04
3.95
WHIPlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
.9001.74
now 1.03
1.28
Tyler Mahle
.9001.74
now 1.54
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
4079.80
now 25
0
Tyler Mahle
4079.80
now 57
0
Winshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Tyler Mahle
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrandon Woodruff — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · steadyTyler Mahle — hold.conf 0.60
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