MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 24, 2026
Brandon Woodruff
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brandon Woodruff wins 2 (ERA, W); Zebby Matthews wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
92.0
Zebby Matthews
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
11.9%
Zebby Matthews
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
25.0%
Zebby Matthews
19.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
33.6%
Zebby Matthews
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
34.0%
Zebby Matthews
37.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
7.2%
Zebby Matthews
11.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
.268
Zebby Matthews
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
3.195.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.99
Zebby Matthews
3.195.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
.9301.38
now 1.03
1.28
Zebby Matthews
.9301.38
now 1.03
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
40103.80
now 25
62
Zebby Matthews
40103.80
now 24
81
Winshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
.0008
now 2
36
Zebby Matthews
.0008
now 1
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrandon Woodruff — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · steadyZebby Matthews — hold.conf 0.60
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