MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Jared Jones
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jared Jones.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Zebby Matthews’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jared Jones wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Zebby Matthews wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jared Jones
98.3
Zebby Matthews
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jared Jones
15.4%
Zebby Matthews
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jared Jones
27.6%
Zebby Matthews
19.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jared Jones
30.5%
Zebby Matthews
27.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jared Jones
39.3%
Zebby Matthews
41.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jared Jones
8.1%
Zebby Matthews
11.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jared Jones
.295
Zebby Matthews
.328
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jared Jones
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.38
3.62
Zebby Matthews
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.40
WHIPlower is better
Jared Jones
.9002.50
now 2.08
1.25
Zebby Matthews
.9002.50
now 1.03
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jared Jones
4031.20
now 6
13
Zebby Matthews
4031.20
now 24
13
Winshigher is better
Jared Jones
.0001.48
now 0
00
Zebby Matthews
.0001.48
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJared Jones — buy.conf 0.74
SellZebby Matthews — sell.conf 0.69
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