MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Braxton Ashcraft wins 2 (K, W); Casey Mize wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
97.2
Casey Mize
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
13.9%
Casey Mize
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
26.6%
Casey Mize
24.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
37.8%
Casey Mize
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
40.8%
Casey Mize
36.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
6.3%
Casey Mize
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
.290
Casey Mize
.273
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
23.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.77
3.48
Casey Mize
23.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.07
WHIPlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.9001.29
now 1.03
1.20
Casey Mize
.9001.29
now 0.97
1.16

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
4096.20
now 81
55
Casey Mize
4096.20
now 49
43
Winshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.0006.60
now 5
25
Casey Mize
.0006.60
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBraxton Ashcraft — buy.conf 0.79
Sell HighCasey Mize — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
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