MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Max Fried
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 2 (K, WHIP); Max Fried wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.5
Max Fried
95.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.4%
Max Fried
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
24.9%
Max Fried
23.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.5%
Max Fried
28.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
36.0%
Max Fried
30.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
6.4%
Max Fried
1.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.273
Max Fried
.241
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
23.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.07
Max Fried
23.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.21
2.39
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.39
now 0.97
1.16
Max Fried
.9001.39
now 1.01
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4055.60
now 49
39
Max Fried
4055.60
now 50
36
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.0005.20
now 2
12
Max Fried
.0005.20
now 4
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCasey Mize — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
BuyMax Fried — buy.conf 0.92
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