MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Casey Mize.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Payton Tolle wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.5
Payton Tolle
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.6%
Payton Tolle
13.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
25.7%
Payton Tolle
24.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.3%
Payton Tolle
33.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
34.6%
Payton Tolle
34.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
6.8%
Payton Tolle
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.271
Payton Tolle
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
23.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.01
Payton Tolle
23.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.61
3.08
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.36
now 0.97
1.15
Payton Tolle
.9001.36
now 0.90
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4082.40
now 49
58
Payton Tolle
4082.40
now 46
72
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
1.204.80
now 2
24
Payton Tolle
1.204.80
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCasey Mize — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
BuyPayton Tolle — buy.conf 0.91
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