MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Gavin Williams wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.5
Gavin Williams
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.8%
Gavin Williams
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
26.9%
Gavin Williams
28.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.4%
Gavin Williams
32.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
34.7%
Gavin Williams
48.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
7.1%
Gavin Williams
11.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.263
Gavin Williams
.326
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
25.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
2.81
Gavin Williams
25.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.07
4.31
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.33
now 0.97
1.13
Gavin Williams
.9001.33
now 1.09
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
40103.60
now 49
62
Gavin Williams
40103.60
now 88
88
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.00016
now 2
24
Gavin Williams
.00016
now 8
512

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCasey Mize — buy.conf 0.92
SellGavin Williams — sell.conf 0.65
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